PUTIN AND BIDEN HAVE STARTED A STRONG PHONE CHAT ABOUT THE UKRAINE CONFLICT.
With
the threat of war growing, Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President
Joe Biden held a high-stakes phone chat on Saturday, as a tense world watched
and feared that an invasion of Ukraine could start in days.
Prior
to speaking with Biden, Putin spoke on the phone with French President Emmanuel
Macron, who met with him in Moscow earlier this week to try to address the
world's largest security issue since the Cold War. According to a Kremlin
readout of the call, no progress was achieved toward lowering tensions.
The
United States declared plans to evacuate its embassy in Kiev, and Britain
joined other European nations in pushing its people to leave Ukraine,
indicating that American officials were preparing for the worst-case scenario.
Russia
has amassed around 100,000 troops near the Ukraine border and has moved troops
to neighbouring Belarus for drills, but it denies that it plans to attack
Ukraine.
The
timing of any potential Russian military action remained a major concern.
According
to a US official familiar with the results, the US received evidence that
Russia is targeting Wednesday as a target date. The official, who was not
authorised to speak to the press and spoke on the condition of anonymity, would
not specify how conclusive the intelligence was. The White House made it clear
that the US does not know for sure whether Putin is planning an invasion.
However,
US officials have stated again that Russia's military buildup near Ukraine has
reached the point where it may invade at any time.
"Provocative
predictions about an allegedly planned Russian 'invasion' of Ukraine,"
according to a Kremlin statement regarding the Putin-Macron call. Russia has
long denied that it intends to attack its neighbour militarily.
Putin
also complained in the call that the US and NATO had failed to meet Russian
demands that Ukraine be barred from joining the military alliance and NATO
forces be pulled back from Eastern Europe.
The
call between Biden and Putin began at 11:04 a.m. EST, according to the White
House. The call was made from Camp David by Biden.
Although
Biden has stated that the US military will not enter a war in Ukraine, he has
guaranteed that the US will impose severe economic sanctions on Moscow in
coordination with international allies.
"Further
Russian aggression would be faced with a resolute, enormous, and coordinated
trans-Atlantic response," US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken told his
Russian counterpart on Saturday.
Meanwhile,
as he watched military drills near Crimea, which Russia took from Ukraine in
2014, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy tried to project calm.
"We
are not terrified, we are not panicked, and everything is under control,"
he stated.
On
Saturday, US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and his Russian colleague, Sergei
Shoigu, spoke on the phone.
The
British troops who were training the Ukrainian army were also planning to leave
the country. Germany, the Netherlands, and Italy have all requested that their
citizens go as quickly as possible.
According
to a State Department travel alert issued on Saturday, most American embassy
workers in Kyiv have been instructed to leave, and other US individuals should
leave the country as well.
The
Defense Ministry summoned the US embassy's military attache on Saturday after
the navy detected an American submarine in Russian waters near the Kuril
Islands in the Pacific, escalating tensions between the two countries. The
submarine refused to leave, but did so when the navy utilised "necessary
means," according to the ministry.
The
Pentagon added to the impression of danger by sending an additional 3,000 US
troops to Poland to reassure allies.
Jake
Sullivan, Biden's national security adviser, said Americans in Ukraine should
not expect the US military to rescue them if air and rail connectivity is
disrupted as a result of a Russian invasion.
Several
NATO countries, including the United Kingdom, Canada, Norway, and Denmark, as
well as non-NATO partner New Zealand, have ordered their citizens to leave
Ukraine.
Russian
military intervention, according to Sullivan, might begin with missile and air
attacks, followed by a land offensive.
"Russia
has all the forces it needs to launch a significant military operation,"
Sullivan said, adding that "Russia might chose to launch a massive
military operation against Ukraine in very short order." According to him,
the scope of an invasion might range from a small infiltration to a strike on
Kyiv, Ukraine's capital.
The
United States' claim of urgency was mocked by Russia. "The White House's
panic is more suggestive than ever," a Russian Foreign Ministry
spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, said. "The Anglo-Saxons are in desperate
need of a conflict. At any price. Provocations, lies, and threats are popular
ways for them to solve their own issues."
In
response to fears about probable military action from the Ukrainian side,
Zakharova said her country had "optimised" staffing at its own
embassy in Kyiv.
In
addition to the more than 100,000 foot troops positioned around Ukraine's
eastern and southern borders, the Russians have deployed missile, air, naval,
and special operations units, as well as supplies to maintain a conflict,
according to US sources. Russia deployed six amphibious assault ships into the
Black Sea this week, bolstering its ability to land commandos on the shore.
Sullivan's
harsh threat has hastened the predicted time period for an invasion, which many
observers had thought would not happen until after China's Winter Olympics on
Feb. 20. According to Sullivan, the administration has warned that conflict
might break out at any time due to a combination of a new Russian force
deployment on Ukraine's borders and unnamed intelligence indicators.
"We
can't name the day or the hour at this point," Sullivan added, "but
it is a very, very distinct possibility."
As
reassurance to allies on NATO's eastern flank, Biden has increased the US
military posture in Europe. On top of the 1,700 soldiers already on their way
to Poland, an extra 3,000 soldiers have been ordered. The US Army is also
relocating 1,000 troops from Germany to Romania, which shares a border with
Ukraine with Poland.
Russia
is requesting that the West exclude former Soviet republics from NATO
membership. It also wants NATO to stop stationing weapons near its border and
withdraw alliance forces from Eastern Europe, demands that the West has firmly
rejected.
Since
2014, when Ukraine's Kremlin-friendly president was forced from office by a
popular uprising, Russia and Ukraine have been at odds. Moscow retaliated by
annexing the Crimean Peninsula and then supporting a separatist insurgency in
eastern Ukraine, where over 14,000 people have been murdered in conflict.
Large-scale
warfare were halted by a 2015 peace pact brokered by France and Germany, but
frequent skirmishes have continued, and efforts to establish a political
settlement have faltered.
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